Saturday, January 7, 2017

World Peace “Lennon Ivan Style” – Part 228

World Peace “Lennon Ivan Style” – Part 228




As a continuation from my last blog whereby I believe the root of “World Peace” is centered on peace in the Middle East with the first step being negotiated peace between Israel and the Palestinians, I would like to remain objective and independent in my views such that I would like to today bring Iraq into my views as they seem to be the closest at this time to a full fledge civil war of rage like wild animals stuck together in a cage. However, it is important to note that Israel and Palestine seem to be awakening from their hatred induced coma state with the potential for peace negotiations to be resumed in the near future in the United States, while Egypt continues to operate in supremacy domination mode whereby the minority Christian military continues to hold on to power while the Muslim majority is fuming at the seams hoping to awaken from this horrible dream. As for the Syrians, both sides are still in anger induced coma state for the mentally insane such that millions of Syrians continue to suffer each and every day. In terms of the Russians and Ukrainians, they seem to have entered into a political war game whereby neither party wishes to concede but rather seems to prefer to enter into a civil war and commit dirty deeds. While Israelis, Palestinians, Egyptians, Syrians, Russians and Ukrainians continue along their respective paths toward enlightenment, it is now time for the Iraqis to be enlightened as to the path of quelling their current tensions before any more civil war breaks out which bears the risk of leading to a third and final world war on this earth, after which, there will be no place for anyone left to run. In summary, Observers around the world are stunned by the speed and scope of assaults on every major city in the upper Tigris River Valley, including Mosul, Iraq’s second-largest city, by the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria, or ISIS. However, as the ISIS rebels extend their reach across Iraq, the U.S. Air Force was forced to intervene in order to prevent Genocide while Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki relinquished power opening a new political chapter that U.S. officials hope will move Iraq toward a more unified front against Islamic jihadists currently running wild and literally beheading “Infidels” like pigs without shedding a tear as blood spills out of their victims giving everybody creepy chills.

During the week ending on Sunday, January 8, 2017, TURKEY retreated from their aggressive siege of CIZRE, SILOPI, DIYARBAKIR and NUSAYBIN, predominantly KURDISH, which TURKEY had converted into a suburban war zone area as TURKEY was on the defense as they were subject to an internal military “Coup D’État” that failed as gunfire and explosions erupted in which 265 people died, 161 of them civilians, over one month ago. As a result of the failed “Coup D’État”, Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan declared a state of emergency, extended the period during which suspects can be detained without charge to 30 days, closed more than 1,000 private schools and closed more than 1,200 associations. Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan continued cleaning house again this week after nearly three months since the failed “Coup D’État” for which officials continue to blame the disciples of TURKISH cleric Fethullah Gulen.  A wide scale purge led by President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and his governing AKP escalated further this week under the disguise of emergency rule as President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s iron fisted rule is slowly but surely leading TURKEY to an economic collapse in the face of rising violence as WESTERN tourists recently have chosen to avoid TURKEY. Furthermore, due to the brutal New Year’s Eve massacre at TURKEY's avant-garde REINA nightclub with Jordanians, Lebanese, Saudis, Tunisians and Israelis among the 39 victims, TURKEY will likely feel the chills from even less Middle Eastern tourists who now see TURKEY as a breeding ground for hate induced violence. As a friendly reminder, just weeks before the New Year’s Eve carnage in TURKEY, RUSSIAN ambassador ANDREI KARLOV was assassinated in TURKEY while the preceding months were in the news by a series of devastating attacks including the failed “Coup D’État” in July in which more than 250 died and the horrible triple suicide-bomb attack on ATATURK International Airport in June where 45 died. Finally, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has become so thin skinned that his lawyers have launched almost 3,000 lawsuits against Turks accused of insulting him, including a former Miss Turkey and a bunch of school kids. In addition, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has surpassed Iran as the world’s leading jailer of journalists with over 150 now believed to be in Turkish prisons. Furthermore, more than 40,000 people from parliament, military and civilian services are also behind bars while almost half of the admirals and generals have been fired from the military and more than 110,000 have been terminated from their government jobs including teachers, police officers, prosecutors and judges. Lastly, the media has been squeezed where companies with asset values at as much as $US 10 billion have been seized as suspected “Coup D’État” sympathisers.

Moving on to IRAQ, IRAQI and US-led ALLIANCE forces continued with their offensive against ISIS on MOSUL. However, ISIS has sent the message to the world that it will do whatever it takes to defend MOSUL as ISIS has chosen the usage of its own people as human shields. Nonetheless, IRAQI and ALLIED forces managed to push ISIS militants back from MOSUL, their last major stronghold in IRAQ, whereby IRAQI troops entered MOSUL from the north for the first time as part of a new phase in the battle for MOSUL whereby elite forces crossed a river under the cover of darkness in a unique night raid. However, the ISIS militants in the number of several thousands in MOSUL continue to put up fierce resistance using suicide car bombs and snipers making it pain staking difficult for ALLIANCE forces to advance other than at a slow and agonizing pace. In addition, elite troops captured AL-MUTHANA following nighttime fighting putting them in a position to take higher ground nearby that comes days after IRAQI forces began the second phase of a push to conquer the last major ISIS stronghold in IRAQ. Thus far, about two-thirds of east Mosul has been retaken since October as the IRAQI army troops raised the IRAQI national flag after capturing AL-MUTHANA. However, ISIS militants have been steadily retreating from areas around MOSUL into the city center since the battle first commenced on October 17 with a slow but steady advance by the ALLIANCE due to the usage by ISIS of civilians as human shields. Thus far, IRAQI, KURDISH and ALLIED forces advances have been impressive on their push to retake MOSUL, ISIS's de facto capital in IRAQ where as many as 1.5 million people are believed to still remain. However, progress has been slow as the ALLIANCE forces have faced counterattacks from the ISIS fighters who deployed hundreds of suicide car bombs, as well as mortars and snipers and used MOSUL’s million plus residents as human shields. Unfortunately, ISIS is still a force to be reckoned with, due to its significant wealth amassed in safe havens abroad, such that although the battle for MOSUL will likely lead to the end of the ISIS era in IRAQ, the ISIS wealth abroad will likely lead to ISIS taking the fight to the streets on foreign soil which will necessitate heightened security measures until kingdom come. Therefore, the US-led ALLIANCE needs to be on heightened security alerts world wide as ISIS will look to find any and all possible retributory strikes, the most savage and barbarian possible, in an attempt to save face from a humiliating defeat of its MOSUL base.

Moving on to SYRIA, SYRIAN government forces have retaken full control of ALEPPO, since the uprising began, after nearly six years of bloody fighting for Syria’s most populous city and SYRIA’s economic hub that has been the most prized and fiercely contested city throughout the Syrian conflict. As a friendly reminder, since the Syrian army’s assault against rebel held ALEPPO began in late September, RUSSIAN and SYRIAN government bombardments have killed more than 1,000 people, including over 250 children while injuring over 5,000. Now, a ceasefire across SYRIA appears to be holding as its brokers, RUSSIA, TURKEY and IRAN obtained approval of the plan from the UN Security Council overriding all previous failed peace proposals and finally ending the six-year conflict. RUSSIA that has invested much political time and energy in ending the fighting after bombing the opposition relentlessly for the past 15 months started to cut back its forces in SYRIA beginning with an aircraft carrier group as the ceasefire appeared to take hold. If the ceasefire holds, peace negotiations are slated to take place in late January in ASTANA, KAZAKHSTAN although rebel groups have complained of Syrian regime violations since the ceasefire came into force on December 30 and warned that they could boycott the talks if the violations continue. The Free Syrian Army (FSA) and other armed groups say the regime is continuing its siege of rebel-held areas outside DAMASCUS and claim government forces have launched an assault on WADI BARADA that supplies the capital with much of its water. The opposition fears the SYRIAN regime is using the truce to regroup and selectively pick off rebel-held areas it wants to regain. However, the SYRIAN regime says it is going after terrorists who were deliberately excluded from the agreement.

In my opinion, Turkey’s participation in the military battle against ISIS is a positive addition to the ALLIANCE albeit Turkey’s negative stance against the PKK which in my opinion is currently unwarranted and deteriorating. However, with the recent majority victory by the governing AKP and President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, it appears that Turkey’s future is heading for more war and bloodshed. Unfortunately, the governing AKP and President Recep Tayyip Erdogan have chosen the path of war with the PKK as opposed to diplomacy via the KURDISH HDP political party which secured close to 11% during recent Turkish elections. Therefore, in my opinion, the governing AKP and President Recep Tayyip Erdogan will learn the hard way that nobody on the outside world looking in is stupid but rather everyone chooses to close their eyes and allow Turkey to continue with its ethnic cleansing campaign of the KURDS in exchange for Turkey signing a deal with the European Union (EU) to stem the flow of refugees arriving in Greece. In exchange for reducing human trafficking and improving living conditions for 2.5 million refugees within its borders, Turkey will receive Euro 3 billion in financial aid in return, the possibility of visa-free travel for its citizens, and a reopening of EU membership talks. In my opinion, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and the governing AKP will learn the hard way that the current failed “Coup D’État” exposes the deep discontent within the TURKISH military ranks as the governing AKP and President Recep Tayyip Erdogan persist with their quest to annihilate the HDP and the KURDS as the AKP is converting itself into a majority fascist regime with its house cleaning exercises whereby virtually all dissidents have been fired. In my opinion, the recent European parliament vote to halt TURKEY’s EU accession backed by a resolution condemning the TURKISH government’s disproportionate repressive measures after the failed “Coup D’État” in July was long overdue as TURKEY has demonstrated beyond a shadow of a doubt, with its repressive measures over all opposition, that TURKEY does not share common values, morals, principals, ethics and views as the EU such that TURKEY does not fit into the EU mould. However, in my opinion, TURKEY still represents a major player on the European economic stage such that the EU will nonetheless have to negotiate deals with TURKEY as an independent NON-EU member country regarding the huge refugee crisis. In my opinion, in exchange for reducing human trafficking and improving living conditions for 2.5 million refugees within its borders, TURKEY should only receive Euro 1.5 billion, half of the initial proposed 3 billion, in financial aid along with visa-free travel for its citizens who do not pose any significant risks outside of TURKISH borders. However, with TURKEY’s hardline stance against all opposition groups with the so-called “national mobilization against all terrorist organizations” which in effect identifies virtually all opposition groups as terrorists, TURKEY cannot conform to the EU protocol regarding civil rights and liberties which protects all minorities from persecution to the extent they follow democratic laws, regulations and principals. Furthermore, TURKEY will deviate even further away from European political protocol with TURKEY’s 3,000 plus lawsuits against Turks accused of insulting President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, including a former Miss Turkey and a bunch of school kids. In my opinion, it is understood under modern democratic principals that any President will be subject to significant criticism and will shoulder the blame for the country’s ailments and pain, as after all it is the President who is making the biggest bucks while the school kids are still relying on Mommy and Daddy allowances to buy some bubble gum. Furthermore, surpassing Iran as the world’s leading jailer of journalists with over 150 now believed to be in Turkish prisons for having a different opinion from President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is counter intuitive to the European philosophy that everyone is entitled to their opinion but at the end of the day it is money that will talk such that the journalists living from pay check to pay check in TURKEY will most likely walk. In regards to more than 40,000 people from parliament, military and civilian services being behind bars, this is a recipe for disaster, as this form of punishment will likely radicalize normal law abiding citizens into future Cupid disguised mercenaries looking for vengeance. Lastly, seizing media companies with asset values up to $US 10 billion as suspected “Coup D’État” sympathisers will insure that there is no longer any foreign investment capital entering TURKEY. Therefore, if President Recep Tayyip Erdogan cannot see that his actions are excessive even after a failed “Coup D’État”, I strongly recommend that he take a vacation and visit Bosnia Herzegovina which has a comparable culture to TURKEY except that Bosnia Herzegovina has evolved with more modern day democratic principals allowing freedom of speech and respect of minority groups. In particular, I would strongly recommend that President Recep Tayyip Erdogan visit Medjugorje which is a famous Catholic shrine for a spiritual awakening to see first hand how the Muslim majority surrounding Medjugorje have welcomed all pilgrims with open arms.

Moving on to IRAQ, the recent successful attacks on ISIS by IRAQI security forces in MOSUL, has clearly sent the message to ISIS that it is just a matter of time until the ISIS Empire in MOSUL dies. However, the IRAQI led troops on the ground are essentially forced to fight ISIS style, which is slow and brutal for any other type of heavy artillery attack on ISIS, will result in significant collateral damage in terms of human casualties. Unfortunately ISIS has managed to set new rules of war, with complete and utter disregard for the laws of war as promulgated by the GENEVA convention, which is essentially that there are no rules other than the dirtiest player in the game wins. Thus, the world finds itself going backwards to the days of Barbarian, Neanderthal, Self-Centered, Egotistical, Narcissistic, Masochistic, Sadistic, Idiosyncratic, Sociopathic and Psychopathic maniacs. Therefore, elite forces crossing a river under the cover of darkness in a unique night raid from the north of MOSUL is the right method of operation that I like to refer to as “shock and awe” as attacking ISIS straight on tends to result in “snap, crackle and pop” with detonation of suicide vests aloof. In regards to elite troops capturing AL-MUTHANA following night-time fighting as about two-thirds of east MOSUL has now been retaken since October, another effective raid taking ISIS out of their element by attacking during the night when ISIS is not expecting a fight. However, in my opinion, assuming that the KURDISH peshmerga, IRAQI army, SHIITE militia and some SUNNI militia forces continue to overlook their differences and stick together, ISIS will inevitably be decimated in IRAQ, although ISIS will likely survive as an incognito terrorist organization throughout the world. In my opinion, with ISIS inevitably nearing its downfall in IRAQ, IRAQI security forces need to be prepared for a different kind of war against ISIS, shifting away from ground offensives to intelligence work and surgical airstrikes to counter an expected move by ISIS away from holding territory and back to a more terrorist role of a dispersed underground terror organization. In my opinion, ISIS is already laying the groundwork for a new terrorist strategy of hiding in remote areas, carrying out attacks in IRAQ and abroad and resorting to organized crime to bankroll future operations.


Moving on to SYRIA, the latest news that the SYRIAN government forces have recaptured the entire former rebel stronghold of east ALEPPO in an offensive that left bodies in the streets and sparked global outrage managed to lead to a ceasefire across SYRIA that appears to be holding as its brokers, RUSSIA, TURKEY and IRAN obtained approval of the plan from the UN Security Council. In my opinion, RUSSIA that invested much political time and energy in ending the fighting after bombing the opposition relentlessly for the past 15 months was the critical player in this ceasefire as RUSSIA managed to control the uncontrollable consisting of President Bashar al-Assad’s forces, Iran and Shiite militias like Lebanon’s Hezbollah whereas TURKEY managed to control the Free Syrian Army (FSA) along with their affiliated rebel factions. Meanwhile, the US lost all relevance to the SYRIAN conflict as RUSSIA, President Bashar al-Assad, Iran and Hezbollah have zero interest in hearing anything more from the USA who advocated from the outset the removal of President Bashar al-Assad from power as a pre-condition to any negotiations. Nonetheless, in my opinion, the current situation in ALEPPO is deplorable as innocent civilians are living in a literal hell on earth as the entire city is covered in blood with diminishing food, necessities and basic supplies while innocent civilians continue to die. Unfortunately, the sporadic fighting that continues to be enflamed, between President Bashar al-Assad’s forces and the FSA, whereby both parties engage in the finger pointing game, is collateral damage after over six years of relentless hate, while spitting directly in each others face, while behaving with complete and utter disrespect and disgrace, that will take decades to replace.

In summary, I refer to “World Peace Lennon Ivan Style – Part 228” as the belief that ISIS is evil such that the MOSUL victory is critical to ISIS decimation but SYRIAN ceasefire between ASSAD and FSA brokered by RUSSIA, TURKEY & IRAN appears that actually might stand albeit occasional bitch slaps of six year reflex hands.




Spirit of John Lennon – Kurdish Guerrilla Song:

January 8, 2017

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