Sunday, February 5, 2017
World Peace “Lennon Ivan Style” – Part 232
As a continuation from my last blog whereby I believe the root of “World
Peace” is centered on peace in the Middle East with the first step being
negotiated peace between Israel and the Palestinians, I would like to remain
objective and independent in my views such that I would like to today bring
Iraq into my views as they seem to be the closest at this time to a full fledge
civil war of rage like wild animals stuck together in a cage. However, it is
important to note that Israel and Palestine seem to be awakening from their
hatred induced coma state with the potential for peace negotiations to be
resumed in the near future in the United States, while Egypt continues to operate
in supremacy domination mode whereby the minority Christian military continues
to hold on to power while the Muslim majority is fuming at the seams hoping to
awaken from this horrible dream. As for the Syrians, both sides are still in
anger induced coma state for the mentally insane such that millions of Syrians
continue to suffer each and every day. In terms of the Russians and Ukrainians,
they seem to have entered into a political war game whereby neither party
wishes to concede but rather seems to prefer to enter into a civil war and
commit dirty deeds. While Israelis, Palestinians, Egyptians, Syrians, Russians
and Ukrainians continue along their respective paths toward enlightenment, it
is now time for the Iraqis to be enlightened as to the path of quelling their
current tensions before any more civil war breaks out which bears the risk of
leading to a third and final world war on this earth, after which, there will
be no place for anyone left to run. In summary, Observers around the world are
stunned by the speed and scope of assaults on every major city in the upper
Tigris River Valley, including Mosul, Iraq’s second-largest city, by the
Islamic State of Iraq and Syria, or ISIS. However, as the ISIS rebels extend
their reach across Iraq, the U.S. Air Force was forced to intervene in order to
prevent Genocide while Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki relinquished power opening
a new political chapter that U.S. officials hope will move Iraq toward a more
unified front against Islamic jihadists currently running wild and literally
beheading “Infidels” like pigs without shedding a tear as blood spills out of
their victims giving everybody creepy chills.
During the week ending on Sunday, February 5, 2017, TURKEY retreated
from their aggressive siege of CIZRE, SILOPI, DIYARBAKIR and NUSAYBIN,
predominantly KURDISH, which TURKEY had converted into a suburban war zone area
as TURKEY was on the defense as they were subject to an internal military “Coup
D’État” that failed as gunfire and explosions erupted in which 265 people died,
161 of them civilians, over one month ago. As a result of the failed “Coup
D’État”, Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan declared a state of emergency,
extended the period during which suspects can be detained without charge to 30
days, closed more than 1,000 private schools and closed more than 1,200
associations. Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan continued cleaning house
again this week after nearly three months since the failed “Coup D’État” for
which officials continue to blame the disciples of TURKISH cleric Fethullah
Gulen. A wide scale purge led by
President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and his governing AKP finally continued to
de-escalate slightly more this week as President Recep Tayyip Erdogan focused
his attention on German Chancellor Angela Merkel in her first trip to TURKEY
since the failed “Coup D’État” as she stressed the importance of freedom of
opinion during a visit meant to help improve severed relations between the two
NATO allies. Germany and Turkey have been at odds over TURKEY's crackdown on
dissidents since the failed “Coup D’État” as well as TURKEY’s allegations, rejected
by Germany, that Germany is harbouring KURDISH and other TURKISH dissidents. German
Chancellor Angela Merkel clearly stated that in such a time of profound
political upheaval, everything must be done to continue to protect the
separation of powers and above all freedom of opinion and the diversity of
society including the freedom of the press, as opposition is part of democracy.
Turkey's allies, including Germany, fear President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is
using the failed “Coup D’État” as a pretext to curtail dissent and President
Recep Tayyip Erdogan's opponents fear the planned constitutional changes will
lead to an authoritarian state.
Moving
on to IRAQ, IRAQI and US-led ALLIANCE forces continued with their offensive
against ISIS on MOSUL. However, ISIS has sent the message to the world that it
will do whatever it takes to defend MOSUL as ISIS has chosen the usage of its
own people as human shields. Nonetheless, IRAQI and ALLIED forces managed to
push ISIS militants back from MOSUL, their last major stronghold in IRAQ,
whereby IRAQI special forces appear to have liberated the eastern half of MOSUL
from ISIS. As a friendly reminder, MOSUL that is divided by the Tigris River
with both east and west sides respectively making up about half of the
population of MOSUL was impressively liberated by the IRAQI and KURDISH
Peshmerga forces. These elite ALLIANCE forces managed to fight through an
elaborate defense system formed by ISIS over the past two years that managed to
keep the ALLIANCE forces out while contemporaneously keeping the residents of
MOSUL trapped in as captives. Unfortunately, an estimated 750,000
civilians trapped in western MOSUL by ISIS are facing
beatings, executions, starvation and forced military conscription of their
children as they wait desperately for ALLIANCE troops to free them. ISIS
has become increasingly crazy, as IRAQI forces have advanced in MOSUL whereby
if your beard is not perfect, ISIS beats you or if ISIS suspects you of sharing
information with the IRAQI army, they execute you. Furthermore, executions and
beatings have gone up sharply whereby ISIS militants are slitting residents’
throats or hanging them and leaving their bodies prominently displayed as
a warning sign to everyone else to not to even think about leaving MOSUL
without a fight. Thus far, since the battle first commenced on October 17,
IRAQI, KURDISH and ALLIED forces advances have been impressive on their push to
retake MOSUL, ISIS's de facto capital in IRAQ where as many as 1.5 million
people are believed to still remain. However, progress has been slow as the
ALLIANCE forces have faced counterattacks from the ISIS fighters who deployed
hundreds of suicide car bombs, as well as mortars and snipers and used MOSUL’s
million plus residents as human shields. Unfortunately, ISIS is still a force
to be reckoned with, due to its significant wealth amassed in safe havens
abroad, such that although the battle for MOSUL will likely lead to the end of
the ISIS era in IRAQ, the ISIS wealth abroad will likely lead to ISIS taking
the fight to the streets on foreign soil which will necessitate heightened
security measures until kingdom come. Therefore, the US-led ALLIANCE needs to be
on heightened security alerts world wide as ISIS will look to find any and all
possible retributory strikes, the most savage and barbarian possible, in an
attempt to save face from a humiliating defeat of its MOSUL base.
Moving
on to SYRIA, SYRIAN government forces have retaken full control of ALEPPO,
since the uprising began, after nearly six years of bloody fighting for Syria’s
most populous city and SYRIA’s economic hub that has been the most prized and
fiercely contested city throughout the Syrian conflict. As a friendly reminder,
since the Syrian army’s assault against rebel held ALEPPO began in late
September, RUSSIAN and SYRIAN government bombardments have killed more than
1,000 people, including over 250 children while injuring over 5,000. Now, a ceasefire
across SYRIA appears to be holding as its brokers, RUSSIA, TURKEY and IRAN
obtained approval of the plan from the UN Security Council overriding all
previous failed peace proposals and finally ending the six-year conflict.
RUSSIA that has invested much political time and energy in ending the fighting
after bombing the opposition relentlessly for the past 15 months started to cut
back its forces in SYRIA beginning with an aircraft carrier group as the
ceasefire appeared to take hold. Against all odds, the ceasefire largely continues
to hold as peace negotiations have commenced in ASTANA, KAZAKHSTAN with TURKEY
and ASSAD’s two main allies, RUSSIA and IRAN, backing these peace talks as
guarantors of a fragile ceasefire. However, the process continues to be
advancing at a snails pace after a two-day meeting on January 23 and 24 whereby
Russia, Turkey and Iran agreed on establishing a trilateral mechanism to
observe and ensure full compliance with a cease-fire in SYRIA with the next
round of negotiations to be held between the government and opposition forces
in Geneva on February 20. However, unfortunately for SYRIA, ISIS set ablaze the
last wells at the HAYYAN GAS FIELDS in order to make the site useless for the
government. The Hayyan Gas Fields were once the largest source of gas to
millions of Syrians such that its loss will prove to be incredibly costly for
the Syrian government as they are already dealing with a water crisis in the
capital city of DAMASCUS. On a positive note, ISIS has been rapidly withdrawing
from several sites in the western countryside of PALMYRA, as President Bashar
al-Assad’s Syrian Arab Army managed to push further east in order to liberate other
gas fields under ISIS’s control.
Moving
on to IRAQ, the recent successful attacks on ISIS by IRAQI security forces in
MOSUL, has clearly sent the message to ISIS that it is just a matter of time
until the ISIS Empire in MOSUL dies. However, the IRAQI led troops on the
ground are essentially forced to fight ISIS style, which is slow and brutal for
any other type of heavy artillery attack on ISIS, will result in significant
collateral damage in terms of human casualties. Unfortunately ISIS has managed
to set new rules of war, with complete and utter disregard for the laws of war
as promulgated by the GENEVA convention, which is essentially that there are no
rules other than the dirtiest player in the game wins. Thus, the world finds
itself going backwards to the days of Barbarian,
Neanderthal, Self-Centered, Egotistical, Narcissistic, Masochistic, Sadistic,
Idiosyncratic, Sociopathic and Psychopathic maniacs. Therefore, the ALLIANCE forces recapture
of eastern MOSUL in its entirety has not
surprisingly triggered further ISIS psychopathic behaviours as residents are facing
beatings, executions, starvation and forced military conscription of their
children as they wait desperately for ALLIANCE troops to free them. In my
opinion, this is ultimately collateral damage imposed by ISIS on its own people
for its recent military loss of eastern MOSUL such that ALLIANCE troops cannot
be held responsible for these innocent civilian casualties. However, ISIS is
now essentially feeding themselves poison pills by taking out their
frustrations on their own people as ISIS’s past military success was predicated
on motivation of a unified body ready, willing and able to fight for a common
cause while now ISIS is forcing people to fight who would otherwise choose to
retreat rather than die. Therefore, in
my opinion, assuming
that the KURDISH peshmerga, IRAQI army, SHIITE militia and some SUNNI militia
forces continue to overlook their differences and stick together, ISIS will
inevitably be decimated in IRAQ, although ISIS will likely survive as an
incognito terrorist organization throughout the world. In my opinion, with ISIS
inevitably nearing its downfall in IRAQ, IRAQI security forces need to be
prepared for a different kind of war against ISIS, shifting away from ground
offensives to intelligence work and surgical airstrikes to counter an expected
move by ISIS away from holding territory and back to a more terrorist role of a
dispersed underground terror organization. In my opinion, ISIS is already
laying the groundwork for a new terrorist strategy of hiding in remote areas,
carrying out attacks in IRAQ and abroad and resorting to organized crime to
bankroll future operations.
Moving
on to SYRIA, the latest news that the SYRIAN government forces have recaptured
the entire former rebel stronghold of east ALEPPO in an offensive that left
bodies in the streets and sparked global outrage managed to lead to a ceasefire
across SYRIA that appears to still be holding after its brokers, RUSSIA, TURKEY
and IRAN obtained approval from the UN Security Council. In my opinion, RUSSIA
that invested much political time and energy in ending the fighting after
bombing the opposition relentlessly for the past 15 months was the critical
player in this ceasefire as RUSSIA managed to control the uncontrollable
consisting of President Bashar al-Assad’s forces, Iran and Shiite militias like
Lebanon’s Hezbollah whereas TURKEY managed to control the Free Syrian Army
(FSA) along with their affiliated rebel factions. Meanwhile, peace negotiations
have commenced in ASTANA, KAZAKHSTAN with TURKEY and ASSAD’s two main allies, RUSSIA
and IRAN, backing these peace talks as guarantors of a fragile ceasefire.
However, ISIS continues to be a thorn in everybodies side in SYRIA as ISIS set
ablaze the last wells at the HAYYAN GAS FIELDS in order to make the site useless
for the government. In my opinion, ISIS along with all other extremist factions
still operating in SYRIA such as the JABHAT FATEH AL-SHAM jihadist group, formerly
known as NUSRA FRONT, and AHRAR AL-SHAM will continue to wage war regardless of
the ceasefire deal brokered by TURKEY, RUSSIA and IRAN but to the extent they
strike as they did at the HAYYAN GAS FIELDS, there must be a quick, rapid,
direct, destructive and punishing strike on those responsible to stop the
cancer from quickly spreading out of control. That being said, to the extent
they continue to battle for territory amongst themselves, they should be let to
go as the more they kill amongst their own, the less will be the need for post
traumatic stress psychiatric bills.
In
summary, I refer to “World Peace Lennon Ivan Style – Part 232” as the belief
that MOSUL victory is critical to ISIS decimation but SYRIAN ceasefire between ASSAD and FSA also key while
ISIS, JABHAT & AHRAR terrorist hits need to be reciprocated in kind while ignoring
infighting kills to minimize post traumatic stress psychiatric bills.
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