Saturday, December 17, 2016
World Peace “Lennon Ivan Style” – Part 225
As a continuation from my last blog whereby I believe the root of “World
Peace” is centered on peace in the Middle East with the first step being
negotiated peace between Israel and the Palestinians, I would like to remain
objective and independent in my views such that I would like to today bring
Iraq into my views as they seem to be the closest at this time to a full fledge
civil war of rage like wild animals stuck together in a cage. However, it is
important to note that Israel and Palestine seem to be awakening from their
hatred induced coma state with the potential for peace negotiations to be
resumed in the near future in the United States, while Egypt continues to operate
in supremacy domination mode whereby the minority Christian military continues
to hold on to power while the Muslim majority is fuming at the seams hoping to
awaken from this horrible dream. As for the Syrians, both sides are still in
anger induced coma state for the mentally insane such that millions of Syrians
continue to suffer each and every day. In terms of the Russians and Ukrainians,
they seem to have entered into a political war game whereby neither party
wishes to concede but rather seems to prefer to enter into a civil war and
commit dirty deeds. While Israelis, Palestinians, Egyptians, Syrians, Russians
and Ukrainians continue along their respective paths toward enlightenment, it
is now time for the Iraqis to be enlightened as to the path of quelling their
current tensions before any more civil war breaks out which bears the risk of
leading to a third and final world war on this earth, after which, there will
be no place for anyone left to run. In summary, Observers around the world are
stunned by the speed and scope of assaults on every major city in the upper
Tigris River Valley, including Mosul, Iraq’s second-largest city, by the
Islamic State of Iraq and Syria, or ISIS. However, as the ISIS rebels extend
their reach across Iraq, the U.S. Air Force was forced to intervene in order to
prevent Genocide while Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki relinquished power opening
a new political chapter that U.S. officials hope will move Iraq toward a more
unified front against Islamic jihadists currently running wild and literally
beheading “Infidels” like pigs without shedding a tear as blood spills out of
their victims giving everybody creepy chills.
During
the week ending on Sunday, December 18, 2016, TURKEY retreated from their
aggressive siege of CIZRE, SILOPI, DIYARBAKIR and NUSAYBIN, predominantly
KURDISH, which TURKEY had converted into a suburban war zone area as TURKEY was
on the defense as they were subject to an internal military “Coup D’État” that
failed as gunfire and explosions erupted in which 265 people died, 161 of them
civilians, over one month ago. As a result of the failed “Coup D’État”,
Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan declared a state of emergency, extended
the period during which suspects can be detained without charge to 30 days, closed
more than 1,000 private schools and closed more than 1,200 associations.
Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan continued cleaning house again this
week after nearly three months since the failed “Coup D’État” for which
officials continue to blame the disciples of TURKISH cleric Fethullah
Gulen. A wide scale purge led by
President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and his governing AKP escalated further this
week under the disguise of emergency rule as President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s
iron fisted rule resulted in AUSTRIAN Foreign Minister, Sebastian Kurz making
good on his promise to veto European Union (EU) membership talks for TURKEY
while TURKEY vowed to retaliate. Turkish Foreign Minister, Mevlüt
Cavusoglu slammed the actions of his Austrian counterpart and stated that TURKEY
would look to fight against AUSTRIA at all levels due to the delay in Turkish
accession talks that could eventually lead to full membership in the EU. TURKEY
again repeated the threat that if AUSTRIA and EUROPE did not change their minds
on continuing the membership negotiations then Turkey would cancel the
EU-Turkey migrant agreement which could see thousands of migrants cross into
Greece per day. TURKEY also complained that Turkish citizens had not been
granted visa-free access to the EU that was part of the migrant deal saying it
should have happened in June, then in October, and now it is still being
discussed. Reacting to the comments by TURKEY, AUSTRIA stated that is has a
clear opinion on the issues of EU accession which involve the freedom of the
press and the independence of the judiciary which AUSTRIA has criticised the
TURKISH government for in the aftermath of the failed “Coup D’État” this
summer. Furthermore, AUSTRIA has made their position clear on TURKEY by stating
that over recent years TURKEY has moved further and further away from the EU,
but EU policy has remained the same for which there needs to be clear punative consequences.
AUSTRIA reiterated the rationale for its veto position of TURKEY in the EU due
to opposition figures being arrested, journalists being persecuted, officials being
fired if they think differently than the governing TURKISH AKP and discussions
regarding the return of the death penalty.
Moving on to IRAQ, IRAQI and US-led ALLIANCE forces continued with their
offensive against ISIS on MOSUL. However, ISIS has sent the message to the
world that it will do whatever it takes to defend MOSUL as ISIS has chosen the
usage of its own people as human shields. Nonetheless, IRAQI and ALLIED forces managed
to push ISIS militants back from MOSUL, their last major stronghold in IRAQ,
whereby industrial-scale weapons manufacturing capabilities of the ISIS group have
now been revealed. Unfortunately, ISIS weapons production was highly organized
and sophisticated while relying on a robust and reliable supply chain from
across the border in TURKEY. The degree of organization, quality control and
inventory management indicates a complex, centrally controlled industrial
production system much to the surprise of IRAQI and ALLIED forces. However,
ISIS militants have been steadily retreating from areas around MOSUL into the
city center since the battle first commenced on October 17 with a slow but
steady advance by the ALLIANCE due to the usage by ISIS of civilians as human
shields. Thus far, IRAQI, KURDISH and ALLIED forces advances have been
impressive on their push to retake MOSUL, ISIS's de facto capital in IRAQ where
as many as 1.5 million people are believed to still remain. However, progress
has been slow as the ALLIANCE forces have faced counterattacks from the ISIS
fighters who deployed hundreds of suicide car bombs, as well as mortars and
snipers and used MOSUL’s million plus residents as human shields.
Unfortunately, ISIS is still a force to be reckoned with, due to its
significant wealth amassed in safe havens abroad, such that although the battle
for MOSUL will likely lead to the end of the ISIS era in IRAQ, the ISIS wealth
abroad will likely lead to ISIS taking the fight to the streets on foreign soil
which will necessitate heightened security measures until kingdom come.
Therefore, the US-led ALLIANCE needs to be on heightened security alerts world
wide as ISIS will look to find any and all possible retributory strikes, the
most savage and barbarian possible, in an attempt to save face from a
humiliating defeat of its MOSUL base.
Moving
on to SYRIA, the SYRIAN army had initially intensified attacks on ALEPPO as
RUSSIA defied global pressure over the escalation of violence that has crushed
diplomacy, as the bombing of the city of ALEPPO has been described by most as
“Barbarous”. Subsequently, Free Syrian Army (FSA) held areas of ALEPPO saw the
FSA in SYRIA announcing a big offensive aimed at breaking the government siege
of east ALEPPO whereby the FSA fired hundreds of missiles and initiated a push
to break the ALEPPO siege whereby about 275,000 people have been besieged in the
east of the city for months. Then, RUSSIAN President, VLADIMIR PUTIN warned the
Free Syrian Army (FSA) rebels and civilians trapped in eastern ALEPPO to leave
the city when a temporary moratorium on air strikes expired. Subsequently, President
elect Donald Trump reaffirmed his campaign trail position that assisting the
SYRIAN government in fighting ISIS should be the US main objective in SYRIA despite
appeals from the Free Syrian Army (FSA) rebels for continued help in their
fight against President Bashar al-Assad. Now, SYRIAN government forces have come
close to retaking full control of ALEPPO for the first time, since the uprising
began, after nearly six years of bloody fighting for Syria’s most populous city
and SYRIA’s economic hub that has been the most prized and fiercely contested city
throughout the Syrian conflict. Since Thursday, after the government recaptured
most of the city, at least 6,000 civilians including rebels and at least 2,700
children left ALEPPO but the UN believes tens of thousands of people remain
trapped in east ALEPPO and warns that children there are in danger of death. Unfortunately,
the evacuation of east ALEPPO was halted when Syrian rebels were accused of
failing to respect a deal to lift their own siege of two pro-government towns. As
a friendly reminder, since the Syrian army’s assault against rebel held ALEPPO
began in late September, RUSSIAN and SYRIAN government bombardments have killed
more than 500 people, including over 100 children while injuring over 3,000.
In my opinion, Turkey’s participation in the military battle against
ISIS is a positive addition to the ALLIANCE albeit Turkey’s negative stance
against the PKK which in my opinion is currently unwarranted and deteriorating.
However, with the recent majority victory by the governing AKP and President
Recep Tayyip Erdogan, it appears that Turkey’s future is heading for more war
and bloodshed. Unfortunately, the governing AKP and President Recep Tayyip
Erdogan have chosen the path of war with the PKK as opposed to diplomacy via
the KURDISH HDP political party which secured close to 11% during recent
Turkish elections. Therefore, in my opinion, the governing AKP and President
Recep Tayyip Erdogan will learn the hard way that nobody on the outside world
looking in is stupid but rather everyone chooses to close their eyes and allow
Turkey to continue with its ethnic cleansing campaign of the KURDS in exchange
for Turkey signing a deal with the European Union (EU) to stem the flow of
refugees arriving in Greece. In exchange for reducing human trafficking and
improving living conditions for 2.5 million refugees within its borders, Turkey
will receive Euro 3 billion in financial aid in return, the possibility of
visa-free travel for its citizens, and a reopening of EU membership talks. In
my opinion, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and the governing AKP will learn the
hard way that the current failed “Coup D’État” exposes the deep discontent
within the TURKISH military ranks as the governing AKP and President Recep
Tayyip Erdogan persist with their quest to annihilate the HDP and the KURDS as
the AKP is converting itself into a majority fascist regime with its house
cleaning exercises whereby virtually all dissidents have been fired. In my
opinion, the recent European parliament vote to halt TURKEY’s EU accession backed
by a resolution condemning the TURKISH government’s disproportionate repressive
measures after the failed “Coup D’État” in July was long overdue as TURKEY has
demonstrated beyond a shadow of a doubt, with its repressive measures over all
opposition, that TURKEY does not share common values, morals, principals,
ethics and views as the EU such that TURKEY does not fit into the EU mould.
However, in my opinion, TURKEY still represents a major player on the European
economic stage such that the EU will nonetheless have to negotiate deals with
TURKEY as an independent NON-EU member country regarding the huge refugee
crisis. In my opinion, in exchange for reducing human trafficking and improving
living conditions for 2.5 million refugees within its borders, TURKEY should
only receive Euro 1.5 billion, half of the initial proposed 3 billion, in
financial aid along with visa-free travel for its citizens who do not pose any
significant risks outside of TURKISH borders. Therefore, I do not understand
why TURKEY is shocked by AUSTRIA exercising its veto power to suspend TURKISH
ascension into the EU. In my opinion, TURKEY should only be shocked by the
failure of the EU to grant TURKISH citizens visa-free travel throughout Europe
as in my opinion this is a critical element for TURKISH assimilation with EU
policies. That is, TURKISH citizens, but in particular those from the governing
AKP should be encouraged to visit EU member countries to see for themselves how
democratic principals are applied in practice to opposition figures, journalists
and government officials. In my opinion, TURKISH President Recep Tayyip Erdogan
and the governing AKP are like FASCIST alcoholics whereby they do not see that
they have a problem which is unacceptable for EU ascension such that TURKEY
must either choose EU meetings, like Alcoholics Anonymous (A&A), to
rehabilitate its Fascist views or accept exclusion from the EU. However, the EU
should still continue to work together with TURKEY on all other issues
concerning both parties because TURKEY is still a major player in the region
regardless of its differing views as concerns democratic principals.
Moving
on to IRAQ, the recent successful attacks on ISIS by IRAQI security forces in
MOSUL, has clearly sent the message to ISIS that it is just a matter of time
until the ISIS Empire in MOSUL dies. However, the IRAQI led troops on the
ground are essentially forced to fight ISIS style, which is slow and brutal for
any other type of heavy artillery attack on ISIS, will result in significant
collateral damage in terms of human casualties. Unfortunately ISIS has managed
to set new rules of war, with complete and utter disregard for the laws of war
as promulgated by the GENEVA convention, which is essentially that there are no
rules other than the dirtiest player in the game wins. Thus, the world finds
itself going backwards to the days of Barbarian,
Neanderthal, Self-Centered, Egotistical, Narcissistic, Masochistic, Sadistic,
Idiosyncratic, Sociopathic and Psychopathic maniacs. Furthermore, with recent
advances by IRAQI and ALLIED troops, industrial-scale weapons manufacturing
capabilities of the ISIS group have now been revealed of a highly organized and
sophisticated nature relying on a robust and reliable supply chain from across
the border in TURKEY. Therefore, in my
opinion, ISIS’s loss of ground around MOSUL whereby they have been squeezed
into the city center means that ISIS has lost its ability to manufacture
weapons on an industrial scale. However, in my opinion, ISIS has likely already
moved most of its senior weapons experts out of MOSUL and into their territory
across the border in SYRIA so the threat of industrial scale weapons
manufacturing still exists. On a positive note, any significant supply route
from TURKEY into MOSUL has been cut off or seriously restricted so that ISIS
would have to cross KURDISH territory where KURDISH militia units are among the
strongest ALLIED forces forcing ISIS back into the center of MOSUL. In my
opinion, assuming
that the KURDISH peshmerga, IRAQI army, SHIITE militia and some SUNNI militia
forces continue to overlook their differences and stick together, ISIS will
inevitably be decimated in IRAQ, although ISIS will likely survive as an
incognito terrorist organization throughout the world. In my opinion, with ISIS
inevitably nearing its downfall in IRAQ, IRAQI security forces need to be
prepared for a different kind of war against ISIS, shifting away from ground
offensives to intelligence work and surgical airstrikes to counter an expected
move by ISIS away from holding territory and back to a more terrorist role of a
dispersed underground terror organization. In my opinion, ISIS is already laying
the groundwork for a new terrorist strategy of hiding in remote areas, carrying
out attacks in IRAQ and abroad and resorting to organized crime to bankroll future
operations.
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