Saturday, December 3, 2016
World Peace “Lennon Ivan Style” – Part 223
As a continuation from my last blog whereby I believe the root of “World
Peace” is centered on peace in the Middle East with the first step being
negotiated peace between Israel and the Palestinians, I would like to remain
objective and independent in my views such that I would like to today bring
Iraq into my views as they seem to be the closest at this time to a full fledge
civil war of rage like wild animals stuck together in a cage. However, it is
important to note that Israel and Palestine seem to be awakening from their
hatred induced coma state with the potential for peace negotiations to be
resumed in the near future in the United States, while Egypt continues to operate
in supremacy domination mode whereby the minority Christian military continues
to hold on to power while the Muslim majority is fuming at the seams hoping to
awaken from this horrible dream. As for the Syrians, both sides are still in
anger induced coma state for the mentally insane such that millions of Syrians
continue to suffer each and every day. In terms of the Russians and Ukrainians,
they seem to have entered into a political war game whereby neither party
wishes to concede but rather seems to prefer to enter into a civil war and
commit dirty deeds. While Israelis, Palestinians, Egyptians, Syrians, Russians
and Ukrainians continue along their respective paths toward enlightenment, it
is now time for the Iraqis to be enlightened as to the path of quelling their
current tensions before any more civil war breaks out which bears the risk of
leading to a third and final world war on this earth, after which, there will
be no place for anyone left to run. In summary, Observers around the world are
stunned by the speed and scope of assaults on every major city in the upper
Tigris River Valley, including Mosul, Iraq’s second-largest city, by the
Islamic State of Iraq and Syria, or ISIS. However, as the ISIS rebels extend
their reach across Iraq, the U.S. Air Force was forced to intervene in order to
prevent Genocide while Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki relinquished power opening
a new political chapter that U.S. officials hope will move Iraq toward a more
unified front against Islamic jihadists currently running wild and literally
beheading “Infidels” like pigs without shedding a tear as blood spills out of
their victims giving everybody creepy chills.
During
the week ending on Sunday, December 4, 2016, TURKEY retreated from their
aggressive siege of CIZRE, SILOPI, DIYARBAKIR and NUSAYBIN, predominantly
KURDISH, which TURKEY had converted into a suburban war zone area as TURKEY was
on the defense as they were subject to an internal military “Coup D’État” that
failed as gunfire and explosions erupted in which 265 people died, 161 of them
civilians, over one month ago. As a result of the failed “Coup D’État”,
Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan declared a state of emergency, extended
the period during which suspects can be detained without charge to 30 days, closed
more than 1,000 private schools and closed more than 1,200 associations.
Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan continued cleaning house again this
week after nearly three months since the failed “Coup D’État” for which
officials continue to blame the disciples of TURKISH cleric Fethullah
Gulen. A wide scale purge led by
President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and his governing AKP escalated further this
week under the disguise of emergency rule as President Recep Tayyip Erdogan saw
the prospects for TURKEY eventually joining the European Union (EU) narrowing
when the NETHERLANDS followed the AUSTRIAN lead and asked other EU member
countries to formally warn the TURKISH government that the purges in TURKEY
could lead to the freezing of EU membership talks. The warning by AUSTRIA and
the NETHERLANDS angered TURKEY’S president, Recep Tayyip Erdogan who threatened
to scrap cooperation with Europe on limiting the flow of refugees after the
European Parliament passed a nonbinding resolution to halt the talks with TURKEY
temporarily. Meanwhile, ISRAEL's new ambassador to TURKEY arrived in the TURKISH
capital of ANKARA to serve as the first official envoy since 2010 as the two
countries advanced with their reconciliation after a six-year spat put
diplomatic relations on ice. Eitan Naeh is ISRAEL’s first envoy since ISRAELI
commandos raided Mavi Marmara in 2010, a Gaza-bound flotilla of activists
aiming to break the siege on the Gaza Strip. After the raid, which killed 10 TURKISH
activists, relations between the two countries plunged to an all time low, with
both pulling their envoys out from the respective capitals. However, the bitter
rift came to an end in June after long running secret talks in third countries
with ISRAEL who offered $ 20 million in compensation, an apology over the raid
and permission for TURKISH aid to reach Gaza. Subsequently, last week
firefighting planes from TURKEY were sent to ISRAEL to assist ISRAEL after
wildfires raged.
Moving
on to IRAQ, IRAQI and US-led ALLIANCE forces continued with their offensive
against ISIS on MOSUL. However, ISIS has sent the message to the world that it
will do whatever it takes to defend MOSUL as ISIS has chosen the usage of its
own people as human shields. Unfortunately, nearly 2,000 IRAQI troops were
killed across IRAQ in NOVEMBER as they battled to force ISIS extremists out of
the country. That is nearly triple the number of military casualties reported
in OCTOBER when the offensive to retake the city of MOSUL from ISIS first
began. The toll for NOVEMBER is all-inclusive with the IRAQI army, police in
combat, KURDISH Peshmerga fighters and allied militias. The IRAQI led ALLIANCE’s
advance on MOSUL slowed after their entrance last month into a densely
populated urban environment where ALLIANCE troops have had to fight
street-to-street battles against deeply entrenched ISIS militants. However, on
a positive note, ISIS militants have been steadily retreating from areas around
MOSUL into the city center since the battle first commenced on October 17 with
a slow but steady advance by the ALLIANCE due to the usage of civilians as
shields by ISIS. Unfortunately, the battle for MOSUL has seen civilians paying
a growing price with more and more dead bodies flowing out of the dense urban
combat zones each day. For now, most of the civilians killed have been casualties
of ISIS artillery and snipers but the rising civilian death toll has slowed
down the fight to a crawl as IRAQI forces are unable to make substantial
progress while protecting civilians at the same time. The IRAQI government is
considering a mass evacuation but even that might make civilians more
vulnerable if the IRAQI military were to change its tactics and introduce new
weapons that may be more effective against ISIS fighters, such as heavy artillery
and tanks, while at the same time putting civilians in even greater danger.
Thus far, IRAQI, KURDISH and ALLIED forces advances have been impressive on
their push to retake MOSUL, ISIS's de facto capital in IRAQ where as many as
1.5 million people are believed to still remain. However, there are fears ISIS
could use them to defend itself, as the operation gets closer to the centre of
the city. Unfortunately, ISIS is still a force to be reckoned with, due to its
significant wealth amassed in safe havens abroad, such that although the battle
for MOSUL will likely lead to the end of the ISIS era in IRAQ, the ISIS wealth
abroad will likely lead to ISIS taking the fight to the streets on foreign soil
which will necessitate heightened security measures until kingdom come.
Moving
on to SYRIA, the SYRIAN army had initially intensified attacks on ALEPPO as
RUSSIA defied global pressure over the escalation of violence that has crushed
diplomacy, as the bombing of the city of ALEPPO has been described by most as
“Barbarous”. Subsequently, Free Syrian Army (FSA) held areas of ALEPPO saw the
FSA in SYRIA announcing a big offensive aimed at breaking the government siege
of east ALEPPO whereby the FSA fired hundreds of missiles killing at least 15
civilians. The Syrian FSA initiated their push to break the ALEPPO siege
whereby about 275,000 people have been besieged in the east of the city for
months. Then, RUSSIAN President, VLADIMIR PUTIN warned the Free Syrian Army
(FSA) rebels and civilians trapped in eastern ALEPPO to leave the city when a
temporary moratorium on air strikes expired. Subsequently, President elect
Donald Trump reaffirmed his campaign trail position that assisting the SYRIAN
government in fighting ISIS should be the US main objective in SYRIA despite
appeals from the Free Syrian Army (FSA) rebels for continued help in their
fight against President Bashar al-Assad. Now, SYRIAN government forces have
recaptured half the former rebel stronghold of east ALEPPO in an offensive that
has left bodies in the streets and sparked global outrage. Tens of thousands of
civilians streamed out of ALEPPO's east while RUSSIA renewed calls for
humanitarian corridors so aid can enter and desperate residents can leave.
However, tensions between the FSA and RUSSIA escalated after weeks of secret
meetings in TURKEY making little apparent progress on lifting the siege of
eastern ALEPPO as the FSA claims that Russia is not serious about the talks
over a pause in the fighting. As a friendly reminder, since the Syrian army’s
assault against rebel held ALEPPO began in late September, RUSSIAN and SYRIAN government
bombardments have killed more than 500 people, including over 100 children
while injuring over 3,000.
In my opinion, Turkey’s participation in the military battle against
ISIS is a positive addition to the ALLIANCE albeit Turkey’s negative stance
against the PKK which in my opinion is currently unwarranted and deteriorating.
However, with the recent majority victory by the governing AKP and President
Recep Tayyip Erdogan, it appears that Turkey’s future is heading for more war
and bloodshed. Unfortunately, the governing AKP and President Recep Tayyip
Erdogan have chosen the path of war with the PKK as opposed to diplomacy via
the KURDISH HDP political party which secured close to 11% during recent
Turkish elections. Therefore, in my opinion, the governing AKP and President
Recep Tayyip Erdogan will learn the hard way that nobody on the outside world
looking in is stupid but rather everyone chooses to close their eyes and allow
Turkey to continue with its ethnic cleansing campaign of the KURDS in exchange
for Turkey signing a deal with the European Union (EU) to stem the flow of
refugees arriving in Greece. In exchange for reducing human trafficking and
improving living conditions for 2.5 million refugees within its borders, Turkey
will receive Euro 3 billion in financial aid in return, the possibility of
visa-free travel for its citizens, and a reopening of EU membership talks. In
my opinion, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and the governing AKP will learn the
hard way that the current failed “Coup D’État” exposes the deep discontent
within the TURKISH military ranks as the governing AKP and President Recep
Tayyip Erdogan persist with their quest to annihilate the HDP and the KURDS as
the AKP is converting itself into a majority fascist regime with its house
cleaning exercises whereby virtually all dissidents have been fired. In my
opinion, the recent European parliament vote to halt TURKEY’s EU accession backed
by a resolution condemning the TURKISH government’s disproportionate repressive
measures after the failed “Coup D’État” in July was long overdue as TURKEY has
demonstrated beyond a shadow of a doubt, with its repressive measures over all
opposition, that TURKEY does not share common values, morals, principals,
ethics and views as the EU such that TURKEY does not fit into the EU mould.
However, in my opinion, TURKEY still represents a major player on the European
economic stage such that the EU will nonetheless have to negotiate deals with TURKEY
as an independent NON-EU member country regarding the huge refugee crisis. In my
opinion, in exchange for reducing human trafficking and improving living
conditions for 2.5 million refugees within its borders, TURKEY should only
receive Euro 1.5 billion, half of the initial proposed 3 billion, in financial
aid along with visa-free travel for its citizens who do not pose any
significant risks outside of TURKISH borders. However, in my opinion, I agree
with AUSTRIA and the NETHERLANDS that all talks with TURKEY regarding future
ascension into the EU should be suspended indefinitely pending TURKEY’s
conformance with EU civil rights and liberties including the protection of all
minorities rights including the freedom of expression and the rights to promote
ones divergent views within the parameters of democratic principals. However,
in my opinion there is still hope for TURKEY to come around and to change its
rough, hardline and non-democratic stance against all minority opposition
movements as part of its purge following the failed “Coup D’État” as TURKEY has
shown with its recent reconciliation with ISRAEL, after a six year spat, that
TURKEY still shares the common principal with the EU that “money talks while
flexing muscle walks”. Therefore, I believe that the EU can pressure TURKEY by
withholding monetary aid for the 2.5 million refugees catastrophe in exchange
for TURKEY adopting a more moderate stance against its opposition movements. In
my opinion, it takes two to dance the tango such that neither the EU nor TURKEY
on a stand-alone basis can adequately mitigate the 2.5 million refugees
catastrophe. Thus, the EU and TURKEY will need to find some sort of middle
ground with a viable sustainable long-term solution based upon reasonable accommodations
that are safe and sound.
Moving on to IRAQ, the recent successful attacks on ISIS by IRAQI
security forces in MOSUL, has clearly sent the message to ISIS that it is just
a matter of time until the ISIS Empire in MOSUL dies. However, the IRAQI led
troops on the ground are essentially forced to fight ISIS style, which is slow
and brutal for any other type of heavy artillery attack on ISIS, will result in
significant collateral damage in terms of human casualties. Unfortunately ISIS
has managed to set new rules of war, with complete and utter disregard for the
laws of war as promulgated by the GENEVA convention, which is essentially that
there are no rules other than the dirtiest player in the game wins. Thus, the
world finds itself going backwards to the days of Barbarian, Neanderthal, Self-Centered, Egotistical,
Narcissistic, Masochistic, Sadistic, Idiosyncratic, Sociopathic and
Psychopathic maniacs as nearly 2,000 IRAQI troops were killed across IRAQ in NOVEMBER as they
battled to force ISIS extremists out of the country. That is nearly triple the
number of military casualties reported in OCTOBER when the offensive to retake
the city of MOSUL from ISIS first began.
Nonetheless,
in my opinion, ISIS militants have been steadily retreating from areas around
MOSUL into the city center, since the battle first commenced on October 17,
with a slow but steady advance by the ALLIANCE due to the usage of civilians as
shields by ISIS. Therefore, the IRAQI elite Counter-Terrorism Service (CTS)
units has been adequately trained to take on ISIS street fighters at their own
game that is an eye for an eye, a tooth for a tooth and a heart for a heart. In my opinion, assuming that the KURDISH peshmerga, IRAQI army,
SHIITE militia and some SUNNI militia forces continue to overlook their
differences and stick together, ISIS will inevitably be decimated in IRAQ,
although ISIS will likely survive as an incognito terrorist organization throughout
the world. However, ISIS will resort to any and all measures necessary to
preserve, protect and promote its empire including the usage of its own people
as human shields. Therefore, the US-led ALLIANCE needs to be on heightened
security alerts world wide as ISIS will look to find any and all possible
retributory strikes, the most savage and barbarian possible, in an attempt to
save face from a humiliating defeat of its MOSUL base.
Moving on to SYRIA, the latest news that the SYRIAN government forces
have recaptured half the former rebel stronghold of east ALEPPO in an offensive
that has left bodies in the streets and sparked global outrage seems to have
sucked out all of the air from ALEPPO for a potential ceasefire followed by
some sort of power sharing arrangement. As tens of thousands of civilians streamed
out of ALEPPO's east with tensions between the FSA and RUSSIA escalating, after
weeks of secret meetings in TURKEY made little apparent progress on lifting the
siege of eastern ALEPPO, the prospect for peace diminished rapidly. Unfortunately,
the FSA claims that Russia is not serious about the talks over a pause in the
fighting and that RUSSIA’s renewed calls for humanitarian corridors so aid can
enter and desperate residents can leave is a smoke screen to allow SYRIAN
government troops to execute FSA soldiers out in the open. In my opinion, this war
for ALEPPO will never end until there is a political transition in SYRIA but in
cooperation with President Bashar al-Assad, Russia’s close ally, as this is the
only viable long-term sustainable solution given the reality of the current
situation on the ground. That is, with the backing of RUSSIA, President Bashar
al-Assad cannot be overthrown by military force. Therefore, in my opinion, it
is still in everyone’s best interests to recognize RUSSIA’s great military
power beyond its region and to pressure RUSSIA to negotiate a ceasefire
followed by some sort of power sharing arrangement with President Bashar
al-Assad which is the only sustainable long-term solution for ALEPPO. In my
opinion, the scars of ALEPPO run too deep for any side to secede to defeat such
that both sides will likely fight until there is nothing and nobody left in
ALEPPO other than a bloody mess. Therefore, in my opinion, the current
situation in ALEPPO is deplorable as innocent civilians are living in a literal
hell on earth as the entire city is covered in blood with diminishing food,
necessities and basic supplies while innocent civilians continue to die.
Ultimately, it is because of this battle for ALEPPO that ISIS is able to survive; as ASSAD is taking advantage of RUSSIA’s military
backing to commit dirty deeds while RUSSIA pretends to be looking for peaceful
alternatives to put an end to the ALEPPO haemorrhaging bleed.
In summary, I refer to “World Peace Lennon Ivan Style – Part 223” as the
belief that ISIS is evil such that the MOSUL victory is critical to ISIS
decimation but ASSAD is taking advantage
of RUSSIA’s military backing to commit dirty deeds while RUSSIA pretends to be
looking for peaceful alternatives to put an end to the ALEPPO haemorrhaging
bleed.
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